Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Fenerbahce beat FC Midtjylland?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6fa3ce64cb909b26b3f01f971d47fc954d76ed205f2665408ea040c7907b44bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,973
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,900
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,973 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 42c | 7,666$3,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,414.64 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 45c | 3,945$1,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,765.04 | 121 | 66.9%81 W · 40 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…50c2backed Yes | 79c | 3,048$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Yes | 48c | 1,000$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 49c | 430.67$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.03 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 67c | 277.24$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.48 | 122 | 43.4%53 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 45c | 261.19$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.28 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 41c | 209.48$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.88 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked No | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 52c | 187.98$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.53 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 49c | 151.96$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e2e4backed No | 51c | 108.24$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a06…d20ebacked Yes | 51c | 98.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed No | 46c | 70$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aab…c911backed Yes | 25c | 65.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 46c | 52.07$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.12 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78b8…8c12backed No | 51c | 46.88$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd16d…f51fbacked Yes | 49c | 46.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe73d…8c15backed No | 52c | 43.74$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f6…ee90backed Yes | 48c | 43.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b86…923bbacked Yes | 45c | 41.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e09…9f11backed Yes | 51c | 41.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb62…dd02backed Yes | 50c | 40.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b1…f6a4backed No | 51c | 39.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a47…7bdfbacked Yes | 49c | 39.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefe1…4a08backed No | 50c | 35.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x533c…7ea1backed No | 55c | 32.07$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee8…4e62backed Yes | 51c | 31.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c7…a1f7backed Yes | 48c | 30.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…2858backed No | 49c | 29.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ef…0ecfbacked Yes | 47c | 28.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e1…9d86backed Yes | 50c | 28.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 49c | 25.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…af6cbacked Yes | 47c | 24.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc07…7838backed No | 53c | 24.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x102b…759ebacked No | 51c | 23.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1f…8cbdbacked Yes | 47c | 23.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaad2…fa39backed No | 51c | 22.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e1…50dfbacked Yes | 49c | 22.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 48c | 21.58$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d4…7791backed Yes | 51c | 20.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x166e…05bfbacked No | 52c | 20.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +121.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfc…5c86backed No | 51c | 20.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb7…276abacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fenerbahce beat FC Midtjylland?this page
- Will FC Midtjylland beat Fenerbahce?No won
- Will the match between FC Midtjylland and Fenerbahce end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.