CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - BC Game Masters Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6fd9352ab69ef42926dd769121b3eba99d6f1b687d86ebfb3c1d09b3743d9ca8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eternal Fireof Team Nemesis, Eternal Fire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,117
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,117 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x98f1…6000backed Eternal Fire | 42c | 3,465$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3679…b4adbacked Team Nemesis | 58c | 3,465$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Team Nemesis | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Team Nemesis | 58c | 1,197$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0e…ad94backed Team Nemesis | 66c | 1,038$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685 | 113 | 65.5%74 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Eternal Fire | 36c | 740.58$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.97 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Eternal Fire | 41c | 730.91$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.16 | 172 | 30.8%53 W · 119 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Eternal Fire | 41c | 635$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.62 | 330 | 44.5%147 W · 183 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Team Nemesis | 50c | 470.58$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.27 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Team Nemesis | 59c | 387.67$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.81 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe700…ad90backed Team Nemesis | 25c | 355$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Eternal Fire | 72c | 267.88$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.27 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…7455backed Team Nemesis | 35c | 262$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd23d…d9aabacked Team Nemesis | 35c | 258$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02da…78ecbacked Team Nemesis | 25c | 250$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Eternal Fire | 42c | 215.75$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.44 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae2…3b8bbacked Eternal Fire | 75c | 206$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Team Nemesis | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 180 | 63.9%115 W · 65 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5978…aec4backed Eternal Fire | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 229 | 38%87 W · 142 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0e…13aabacked Team Nemesis | 50c | 171.92$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.96 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -19.6wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed Team Nemesis | 6c | 171.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Eternal Fire | 42c | 169.18$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.12 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Eternal Fire | 41c | 160.81$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.88 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Eternal Fire | 51c | 159.14$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.73 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0791…df64backed Eternal Fire | 65c | 144$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +185.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea2f…36f1backed Eternal Fire | 65c | 140$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a5…5ca4backed Eternal Fire | 65c | 139$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…0badbacked Eternal Fire | 75c | 133$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5421…8795backed Eternal Fire | 75c | 133$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8be…1036backed Eternal Fire | 75c | 133$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Team Nemesis | 58c | 120$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed Team Nemesis | 26c | 104$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Eternal Fire | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Eternal Fire | 67c | 99.16$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…78aabacked Eternal Fire | 42c | 98.86$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.34 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ee…193ebacked Eternal Fire | 65c | 97$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…603ebacked Eternal Fire | 53c | 93.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.92 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf6…b779backed Eternal Fire | 41c | 93.18$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.33 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed Eternal Fire | 38c | 85.78$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.85 | 298 | 40.3%120 W · 178 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf58…711fbacked Eternal Fire | 41c | 82.78$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.63 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Team Nemesis | 60c | 78.77$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.26 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Team Nemesis | 16c | 72.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Eternal Fire | 41c | 71.21$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.85 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed Eternal Fire | 40c | 71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed Eternal Fire | 41c | 66$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.94 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Eternal Fire | 65c | 64.22$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Team Nemesis | 60c | 60.6$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.36 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed Eternal Fire | 50c | 51.94$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked Team Nemesis | 24c | 49.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 387 | 53.2%206 W · 181 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed Team Nemesis | 56c | 43.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Team Nemesis | 57c | 41.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Eternal Fire | 41c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…2c42backed Eternal Fire | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf27e…2748backed Eternal Fire | 44c | 38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Eternal Fire | 50c | 36.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…120abacked Team Nemesis | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Team Nemesis | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c28…f16abacked Eternal Fire | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.