CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6fe2cc511e9272b41653a25e16ce6e6e410288159d3ce0f7199eb0007330ad2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FUT Esportsof paiN, FUT Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,705
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,146
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,705 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac75…1319backed FUT Esports | 43c | 6,500$2,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,704.99 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed paiN | 57c | 3,615$2,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,060.54 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed FUT Esports | 47c | 3,060$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,614.79 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked FUT Esports | 44c | 2,523$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.87 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed paiN | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2b…d2d4backed paiN | 56c | 1,936$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked paiN | 39c | 1,300$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed paiN | 2c | 1,266$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2e…41a7backed paiN | 58c | 1,211$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.08 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked paiN | 56c | 703.57$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394 | 245 | 38.4%94 W · 151 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed paiN | 56c | 560$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.6 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed FUT Esports | 44c | 560$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.6 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed FUT Esports | 39c | 499.99$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked paiN | 50c | 450.43$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.53 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked paiN | 57c | 395.99$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.6 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf2…423abacked paiN | 61c | 372.13$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed FUT Esports | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked paiN | 64c | 270$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8203…0187backed paiN | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed FUT Esports | 43c | 173.4$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.42 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89a8…c206backed paiN | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a23…5ca3backed paiN | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed paiN | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -11.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed paiN | 38c | 80.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked FUT Esports | 39c | 70$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.05 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed FUT Esports | 72c | 56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed paiN | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked FUT Esports | 39c | 36.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd612…0bc1backed paiN | 55c | 33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.