CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup 1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7026b9353fa05d3c9e4ca7f7e986062fa9a766e0861e025a1ad6cde5af6b5f1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-RUBYof ex-RUBY, Nuclear TigeRES
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,397
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,776
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,397 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc67…5286backed ex-RUBY | 65c | 1,524$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.33 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nuclear TigeRES | 34c | 567.84$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.4 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed Nuclear TigeRES | 39c | 238.62$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.06 | 298 | 40.3%120 W · 178 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed Nuclear TigeRES | 35c | 222.86$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.5 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-RUBY | 69c | 194.3$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.61 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nuclear TigeRES | 36c | 123.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.27 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked ex-RUBY | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 246 | 33.3%82 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed Nuclear TigeRES | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7014…41eebacked Nuclear TigeRES | 31c | 90$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed ex-RUBY | 50c | 72.76$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.53 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…68f3backed Nuclear TigeRES | 26c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Nuclear TigeRES | 35c | 69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…63ecbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 19c | 67.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 216 | 23.6%51 W · 165 L | -27.4wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed ex-RUBY | 41c | 66.28$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.11 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0705…41ebbacked ex-RUBY | 57c | 33.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…e8c3backed Nuclear TigeRES | 59c | 33.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd503…20d2backed Nuclear TigeRES | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x612e…8427backed ex-RUBY | 64c | 19.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff14…140cbacked ex-RUBY | 68c | 19.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup 1 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 2 Winnerex-RUBY won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.