CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Just Players - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x702aee2fe39937706c6abf4674ddbcb2bcc693a9870ced1a8da24fb0907012c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Just Playersof SPARTA, Just Players
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,226
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,918
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,226 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd57b…c48fbacked Just Players | 54c | 2,614$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.62 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Just Players | 56c | 2,416$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.66 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed SPARTA | 55c | 1,733$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.67 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98e5…f069backed SPARTA | 69c | 1,713$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.1 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Just Players | 66c | 1,646$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.76 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked SPARTA | 44c | 1,249$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.31 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc056…e188backed SPARTA | 17c | 1,135$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.74 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed SPARTA | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 215 | 0.9%2 W · 213 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4965…176fbacked SPARTA | 23c | 999.99$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked Just Players | 35c | 868.07$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.07 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Just Players | 34c | 862.62$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.04 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Just Players | 30c | 635.29$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.64 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Just Players | 51c | 546.61$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.61 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Just Players | 55c | 517.99$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.54 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked SPARTA | 22c | 377.01$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.69 | 217 | 41%89 W · 128 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked SPARTA | 45c | 350$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Just Players | 53c | 287$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.17 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Just Players | 59c | 246$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.42 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked SPARTA | 76c | 236.71$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.7 | 503 | 58.6%295 W · 208 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0f…e25fbacked SPARTA | 67c | 223.06$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.45 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed SPARTA | 35c | 200$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Just Players | 40c | 200$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Just Players | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Just Players | 53c | 190.6$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.21 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed SPARTA | 17c | 176$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3685…6d99backed Just Players | 31c | 170$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.3 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed SPARTA | 21c | 169$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.28 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Just Players | 31c | 154$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.26 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed SPARTA | 31c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 184 | 32.6%60 W · 124 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Just Players | 39c | 142$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.03 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa39…ceb7backed Just Players | 38c | 130.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked SPARTA | 71c | 130$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.3 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed SPARTA | 48c | 121.12$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed SPARTA | 57c | 120$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Just Players | 27c | 117.79$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.6 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed SPARTA | 51c | 113.19$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.17 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed SPARTA | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked Just Players | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Just Players | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Just Players | 41c | 85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.15 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Just Players | 75c | 80.49$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf604…4976backed SPARTA | 16c | 71.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed SPARTA | 45c | 68$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 374 | 40.4%151 W · 223 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed SPARTA | 38c | 56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 456 | 46.9%214 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9a…73fabacked SPARTA | 58c | 47.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 393 | 53.2%209 W · 184 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d7…291dbacked SPARTA | 29c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0943…1d8dbacked Just Players | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b8…599bbacked SPARTA | 75c | 39.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed SPARTA | 46c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd1…344fbacked SPARTA | 71c | 23.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked SPARTA | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Just Players - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group StageJust Players won
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Just Players - Map 1 WinnerJust Players won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.