Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70506892f48aac8d690ec16232cd1a50d0bc885107360d82a8fc5508576c3620
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,317
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,499
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,317 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 0c | 15,689$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 9c | 2,495$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.6 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 5c | 2,378$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.72 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 29c | 1,689$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.13 | 398 | 55.8%222 W · 176 L | +31.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 69c | 1,499$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.09 | 1,035 | 41.6%431 W · 604 L | -33.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed Yes | 7c | 1,160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 80c | 920.95$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.88 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 12c | 497.43$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.92 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 7c | 432.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba0c…7800backed Yes | 6c | 340$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0542…e195backed Yes | 11c | 309.81$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 5c | 274.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 6c | 261.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d8…ab9abacked Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 36cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Yes | 23c | 183.08$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.54 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed Yes | 10c | 181.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 26c | 119.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x422d…98b7backed Yes | 10c | 100.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0004…80c7backed Yes | 10c | 96.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…71a1backed Yes | 23c | 91.24$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 150 | 68%102 W · 48 L | +16.7wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked No | 77c | 60.05$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked No | 77c | 60.04$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked No | 77c | 60.04$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 77c | 59.85$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa83c…f0f4backed Yes | 21c | 56.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d4…d21fbacked Yes | 26c | 55.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad78…678cbacked No | 80c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 36 | 83.3%30 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 78cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 77c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 729 | 44.2%322 W · 407 L | -29.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2026-04-03?No won
- Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-04-03?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.