Tennis · resolved market
Hamburg European Open (Doubles): Andreozzi/Guinard vs Atmane/Etcheverry
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70a9d3c65b299a0026e42d99aee47659c683c9bd9b834298bdb0f97aa5e48d15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Andreozzi/Guinardof Andreozzi/Guinard, Atmane/Etcheverry
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,467
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,458
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,467 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x891d…b19fbacked Atmane/Etcheverry | 18c | 1,030$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.47 | 218 | 38.1%83 W · 135 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked Atmane/Etcheverry | 16c | 700$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 264 | 26.9%71 W · 193 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…7f92backed Andreozzi/Guinard | 66c | 389.12$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.3 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Atmane/Etcheverry | 22c | 345.46$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.41 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +66%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Atmane/Etcheverry | 16c | 307.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -10.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba9e…14fcbacked Atmane/Etcheverry | 34c | 176.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6794…0a8bbacked Atmane/Etcheverry | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 130 | 16.9%22 W · 108 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked Atmane/Etcheverry | 21c | 114.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 56 | 19.6%11 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Atmane/Etcheverry | 22c | 99.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e02…b178backed Atmane/Etcheverry | 19c | 99.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 334 | 9.6%32 W · 302 L | -16.7wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…836dbacked Andreozzi/Guinard | 78c | 86.06$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Atmane/Etcheverry | 15c | 75.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1258…0c15backed Atmane/Etcheverry | 31c | 65.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Andreozzi/Guinard | 59c | 53.48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…bea8backed Atmane/Etcheverry | 75c | 45.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 93 | 74.2%69 W · 24 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Atmane/Etcheverry | 34c | 40.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…6badbacked Andreozzi/Guinard | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x398c…b9d8backed Atmane/Etcheverry | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6db…8b97backed Andreozzi/Guinard | 66c | 28.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eac…9b93backed Atmane/Etcheverry | 70c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…224abacked Andreozzi/Guinard | 62c | 24.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…30fcbacked Andreozzi/Guinard | 78c | 23.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x932f…f3cabacked Andreozzi/Guinard | 53c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc587…56aebacked Andreozzi/Guinard | 68c | 17.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.