Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Gonzaga vs. Santa Clara
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70c75cbc87c4dbbdc0748d10a362eaaa808dba5ab21f62217a4437523d372235
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gonzagaof Gonzaga, Santa Clara
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,615
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,560
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,615 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x480d…f219backed Santa Clara | 30c | 1,000$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Gonzaga | 70c | 639$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.52 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Santa Clara | 21c | 435$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.21 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Gonzaga | 71c | 428.33$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ca…3a8cbacked Santa Clara | 31c | 221$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed8…60e0backed Santa Clara | 31c | 161$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2491…3c43backed Santa Clara | 31c | 120$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0460…dcfebacked Gonzaga | 68c | 107$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.24 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Santa Clara | 28c | 99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe38…4e05backed Santa Clara | 32c | 96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…a03bbacked Santa Clara | 28c | 88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…f093backed Gonzaga | 69c | 86$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7361…70d9backed Gonzaga | 74c | 84$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaba9…6e9cbacked Gonzaga | 69c | 81$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Gonzaga | 70c | 79$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d0…895cbacked Gonzaga | 79c | 75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8662…bac0backed Gonzaga | 69c | 72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5234…403fbacked Gonzaga | 69c | 72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ace…4f14backed Gonzaga | 69c | 71$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…8d1cbacked Gonzaga | 78c | 68$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfb…6a22backed Gonzaga | 79c | 56$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 76cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d80…c2b7backed Gonzaga | 69c | 55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad4e…16dbbacked Gonzaga | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb74e…c66dbacked Gonzaga | 71c | 37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2960…74cabacked Santa Clara | 31c | 37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x229f…6ea8backed Gonzaga | 79c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4686…5637backed Gonzaga | 69c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…9960backed Gonzaga | 69c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 49cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x182f…4dbabacked Gonzaga | 79c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3b…923bbacked Gonzaga | 71c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1977…32e8backed Gonzaga | 67c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8b…c713backed Gonzaga | 77c | 22.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fd…7aa3backed Gonzaga | 79c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dca…b7f1backed Gonzaga | 71c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…cf40backed Gonzaga | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fab…1c31backed Gonzaga | 69c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c9…b992backed Gonzaga | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba6…af7cbacked Gonzaga | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ff…183ebacked Gonzaga | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…0d44backed Gonzaga | 79c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.