College Football · resolved market
Auburn vs. Alabama
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x711610870ac0bbf75875a61912debeb4062edf745d40287d0e78db7c993f0b08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alabamaof Auburn, Alabama
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,131
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,612
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,131 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f84…dd89backed Auburn | 14c | 2,143$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c80…a608backed Auburn | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Auburn | 18c | 800$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.8 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa19a…2f33backed Auburn | 25c | 690$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.5 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa805…83dcbacked Auburn | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 102 | 20.6%21 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d46…e42fbacked Auburn | 7c | 494.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Alabama | 79c | 280.53$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.53 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Auburn | 6c | 271.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 128 | 16.4%21 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a0…ed74backed Auburn | 24c | 255$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Alabama | 75c | 246.99$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.75 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Alabama | 78c | 227.26$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Auburn | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…1de4backed Auburn | 6c | 199.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 52 | 9.6%5 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5439…d594backed Auburn | 22c | 163.64$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3669…bf59backed Auburn | 22c | 157.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40df…ea9abacked Auburn | 8c | 131$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Alabama | 78c | 118.18$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Auburn | 18c | 107.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Alabama | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 188 | 58%109 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…a572backed Alabama | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68d9…00edbacked Auburn | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked Alabama | 78c | 90$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Auburn | 21c | 61.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Alabama | 77c | 43.48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Alabama | 76c | 17.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.