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Lol · resolved market

LoL: Misa Esports vs BoostGate Esports - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Misa Esportsof Misa Esports, BoostGate Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$20,259
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$20,354

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,259 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xec54…e8c1backed BoostGate Esports15c3,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501,35338.6%522 W · 831 L-68.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6182…10c8backed BoostGate Esports15c2,013$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30030%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8aa0…1160backed BoostGate Esports13c2,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26010343.7%45 W · 58 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed BoostGate Esports14c1,409$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.0337947.5%180 W · 199 L-0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd9d…f409backed BoostGate Esports15c1,407$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.0314930.9%46 W · 103 L-11.8wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-29%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x66ea…6791backed BoostGate Esports17c1,083$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.1622744.5%101 W · 126 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed BoostGate Esports15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked BoostGate Esports15c841$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.481,21644.4%540 W · 676 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed BoostGate Esports14c834.47$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.8843035.3%152 W · 278 L-17.4wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3f0…9384backed BoostGate Esports15c686$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003737.8%14 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed BoostGate Esports15c558$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.542,26137.3%843 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed BoostGate Esports15c520.33$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.0544539.3%175 W · 270 L-26.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed BoostGate Esports16c514.31$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.2955229.3%162 W · 390 L-38.4wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked BoostGate Esports12c514.23$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6492037.5%345 W · 575 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked BoostGate Esports20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3e6f…3be7backed BoostGate Esports15c391.32$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588641.9%36 W · 50 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x524f…2642backed BoostGate Esports18c289.17$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked BoostGate Esports14c246.72$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.725840.3%104 W · 154 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed BoostGate Esports16c221.03$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.765543.1%282 W · 373 L-28.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked BoostGate Esports15c125$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.751,24134.7%431 W · 810 L-2.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2957…b26abacked BoostGate Esports14c107.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1513938.8%54 W · 85 L+0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dcc…e8ccbacked BoostGate Esports18c105.56$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1911540%46 W · 69 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.