Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x712b1a6483d1d8fc374e21f0dd145c1392bfa90814f040da0644824c5de9da8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Movistar KOIof Karmine Corp, Movistar KOI
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,020
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,702
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,020 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Karmine Corp | 46c | 1,400$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.85 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Karmine Corp | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 822 | 60.9%501 W · 321 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd2…f8a0backed Movistar KOI | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked Karmine Corp | 35c | 999.99$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 616 | 45.3%279 W · 337 L | +36.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Movistar KOI | 65c | 864.48$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.57 | 595 | 48.2%287 W · 308 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Karmine Corp | 36c | 694$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.84 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Movistar KOI | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 1,611 | 48.4%780 W · 831 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd49d…f05cbacked Movistar KOI | 64c | 537.75$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.59 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…0b73backed Movistar KOI | 57c | 489.82$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.62 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0ba4backed Karmine Corp | 46c | 265$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.55 | 152 | 55.3%84 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Movistar KOI | 54c | 226.92$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.92 | 564 | 32.1%181 W · 383 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Movistar KOI | 76c | 208.33$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa390…c7d9backed Karmine Corp | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 23.1%18 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…f681backed Movistar KOI | 52c | 198.36$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.21 | 370 | 39.5%146 W · 224 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Movistar KOI | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Karmine Corp | 46c | 143.44$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.98 | 1,502 | 50.3%756 W · 746 L | +71.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Movistar KOI | 54c | 124.48$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.48 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Movistar KOI | 54c | 105.98$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.63 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc420…2badbacked Movistar KOI | 57c | 91.23$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.23 | 221 | 47.1%104 W · 117 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…db9dbacked Movistar KOI | 65c | 89.23$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.23 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Movistar KOI | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.11 | 282 | 40.4%114 W · 168 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc58…1e76backed Movistar KOI | 65c | 46.28$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…f948backed Karmine Corp | 46c | 42.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c4…6f4ebacked Karmine Corp | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 244 | 53.3%130 W · 114 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Movistar KOI | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Movistar KOI | 53c | 21.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Movistar KOI | 60c | 21.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c1…be67backed Movistar KOI | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 3?Karmine Corp won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus PlayoffsKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 WinnerMovistar KOI won
- LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 WinnerMovistar KOI won
- LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 WinnerKarmine Corp won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.