Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
TCU vs. West Virginia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x713525232e72ba1ac29d1cf16ce0654d092914cb281a0e6e0658ee412989f228
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- West Virginiaof TCU, West Virginia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,457
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,429
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,457 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked TCU | 25c | 227$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.75 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c0…0131backed TCU | 25c | 154$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53a8…6692backed TCU | 28c | 112$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x943a…72e2backed West Virginia | 72c | 103$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…a9ddbacked TCU | 28c | 82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x244d…09b7backed West Virginia | 72c | 77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc387…31ddbacked West Virginia | 71c | 74$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48d6…ad3bbacked TCU | 28c | 73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4003…b4ccbacked TCU | 28c | 66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecc8…3b17backed West Virginia | 75c | 63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9814…2f30backed West Virginia | 75c | 61$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x679b…28c4backed West Virginia | 75c | 61$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb67c…06efbacked TCU | 25c | 58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2491…3c43backed West Virginia | 75c | 54$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1977…32e8backed West Virginia | 74c | 49.69$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3936…e2a2backed TCU | 25c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c11…a1dfbacked TCU | 25c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x731c…d171backed West Virginia | 72c | 46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked TCU | 26c | 42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9f…ef1ebacked West Virginia | 72c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45f6…1c3abacked West Virginia | 75c | 37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3093…2dcebacked TCU | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ca…20bfbacked West Virginia | 75c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef8e…d52dbacked West Virginia | 75c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e8…5244backed West Virginia | 72c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked West Virginia | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11c8…2641backed West Virginia | 72c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a46…221dbacked West Virginia | 75c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6a…a27fbacked West Virginia | 72c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d9…a59dbacked West Virginia | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdba4…ea98backed West Virginia | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71ed…44a7backed West Virginia | 75c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x590c…699dbacked West Virginia | 75c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2001…bb07backed West Virginia | 75c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6289…8e60backed West Virginia | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…6162backed West Virginia | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e9…fc0ebacked West Virginia | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.