Europa Conference League · resolved market
OGC Nice vs. SC Braga: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x714ef9f5eba3b69c01b1e0b76b861c38d84c7b558c41cfab8aa5c6c1ab0715a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,374
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,446
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,374 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Under | 54c | 4,000$2,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,858.05 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 54c | 2,904$1,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,557.09 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 42c | 2,226$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.14 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 41c | 2,002$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.03 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 31c | 585$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.51 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 22c | 443.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.31 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…a65dbacked Over | 59c | 247.46$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…ff5fbacked Under | 19c | 176.92$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.92 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 35c | 133$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.55 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Under | 23c | 116$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.32 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +63%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over | 78c | 102.69$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -4.8wins | -0.20per pick | 62cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 57c | 95.31$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.65 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -6.8wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Under | 23c | 95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.15 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 22c | 91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.98 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Over | 51c | 52.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Over | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 24c | 49.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.1 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Over | 76c | 41.68$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd43a…f530backed Over | 77c | 38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 60cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9840…cb31backed Over | 77c | 31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -34%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed Over | 77c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 68cpaid | -47%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc17…53b6backed Over | 77c | 29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -3.1wins | -0.52per pick | 69cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa60c…b395backed Over | 77c | 28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05ba…2117backed Over | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd1…0100backed Over | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6191…e505backed Over | 78c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cce…ebfebacked Over | 77c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.9wins | -0.41per pick | 69cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- OGC Nice vs. SC Braga: O/U 1.5this page
- OGC Nice vs. SC Braga: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- OGC Nice vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5Under won
- OGC Nice vs. SC Braga: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: SC Braga (-1.5)OGC Nice won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.