Tennis · resolved market
ITF Astana: Edda Mamedova vs Victoria Milovanova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7181cea17ab279aa4294b3c23687e22c3ef725fddacd65776e129221f61ac615
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Edda Mamedovaof Edda Mamedova, Victoria Milovanova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,296
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,316
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,296 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed Edda Mamedova | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Victoria Milovanova | 42c | 510.88$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.26 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Edda Mamedova | 68c | 499.9$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.53 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Victoria Milovanova | 53c | 361.08$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 423 | 32.4%137 W · 286 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162d…8944backed Victoria Milovanova | 16c | 247.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | +13.5wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Victoria Milovanova | 27c | 209.55$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.88 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Victoria Milovanova | 60c | 141.67$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 472 | 52.1%246 W · 226 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf5…d9f2backed Victoria Milovanova | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -8.0wins | -0.42per pick | 58cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Victoria Milovanova | 20c | 90$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e5…e6adbacked Victoria Milovanova | 24c | 61.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 103 | 10.7%11 W · 92 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Victoria Milovanova | 33c | 57.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Victoria Milovanova | 24c | 55.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac50…d728backed Edda Mamedova | 52c | 46.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 283 | 43.8%124 W · 159 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Edda Mamedova | 78c | 35.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 455 | 66.4%302 W · 153 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb518…3403backed Edda Mamedova | 76c | 35.42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Victoria Milovanova | 43c | 34.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x163d…7c69backed Victoria Milovanova | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 147 | 15.6%23 W · 124 L | -32.8wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x8edb…a1b7backed Edda Mamedova | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…1701backed Edda Mamedova | 53c | 20.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.