Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: TSW (-2.5) vs CTBC Flying Oyster (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71a0794356e823b72fd5b51f5a64b938deaf58ccf2aadc9c809454640759e641
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Secret Whalesof Team Secret Whales, CTBC Flying Oyster
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,818
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,280
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,818 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Team Secret Whales | 24c | 833.05$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.12 | 1,482 | 50%741 W · 741 L | +65.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 73c | 682.38$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.12 | 221 | 65.6%145 W · 76 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…d8debacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 76c | 677.79$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.12 | 141 | 60.3%85 W · 56 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 12c | 558.12$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.77 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +287.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91a2…e415backed Team Secret Whales | 25c | 229$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.75 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 75c | 180$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1,381 | 45.1%623 W · 758 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 53c | 152.2$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.93 | 972 | 54.3%528 W · 444 L | +46.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed Team Secret Whales | 41c | 122.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.24 | 144 | 30.6%44 W · 100 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Team Secret Whales | 58c | 97.83$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.17 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf402…4c5abacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 76c | 94.74$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 151 | 59.6%90 W · 61 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 76c | 59.21$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 149 | 60.4%90 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 39c | 53.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 281 | 49.8%140 W · 141 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Team Secret Whales | 58c | 44.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 381 | 55.1%210 W · 171 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 75c | 44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2,923 | 44.5%1,300 W · 1,623 L | -91.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfec…4c6cbacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 31c | 38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 73c | 34.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 207 | 55.6%115 W · 92 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 76c | 15.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 192 | 44.3%85 W · 107 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: TSW (-2.5) vs CTBC Flying Oyster (+2.5)this page
- Game Handicap: TSW (-1.5) vs CTBC Flying Oyster (+1.5)Team Secret Whales won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - LCP PlayoffsTeam Secret Whales won
- LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 WinnerTeam Secret Whales won
- LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 WinnerTeam Secret Whales won
- LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Team Secret Whales - Game 3 WinnerTeam Secret Whales won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.