Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6f981daf338c2761b28901a3a327e02d26925dec0a3f114a3f0b10ebb5920ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,321
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,313
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,321 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 35c | 1,882$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.8 | 2,178 | 53.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L | +61.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 38c | 1,045$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.1 | 1,522 | 54.7%832 W · 690 L | +37.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Over | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 435 | 43.2%188 W · 247 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf402…4c5abacked Over | 68c | 475.62$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.2 | 153 | 60.1%92 W · 61 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 64c | 381.44$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.63 | 471 | 36.9%174 W · 297 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 65c | 335.92$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.39 | 2,984 | 44.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L | -94.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Over | 65c | 306.15$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -6.2wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Under | 35c | 255.36$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.08 | 266 | 41%109 W · 157 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 64c | 250.81$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.94 | 2,020 | 30.5%617 W · 1,403 L | -172.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Over | 60c | 216$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.6 | 351 | 49.3%173 W · 178 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Over | 71c | 152.68$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.42 | 225 | 65.3%147 W · 78 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 65c | 150$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 417 | 49.2%205 W · 212 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…7dc9backed Over | 65c | 138.46$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Under | 48c | 114.79$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.39 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +260.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Over | 67c | 107.36$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.73 | 278 | 56.5%157 W · 121 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Over | 63c | 95.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 66c | 81.26$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.23 | 1,476 | 43.6%643 W · 833 L | -31.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 65c | 70.31$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.69 | 168 | 41.7%70 W · 98 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…5badbacked Under | 35c | 49.91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 139 | 63.3%88 W · 51 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 66c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 619 | 46.5%288 W · 331 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Over | 38c | 39.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 213 | 44.6%95 W · 118 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 609 | 43.2%263 W · 346 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 65c | 15.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 343 | 57.1%196 W · 147 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Over | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 650 | 43.1%280 W · 370 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce4…33e1backed Over | 67c | 14.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Game Handicap: TSW (-1.5) vs CTBC Flying Oyster (+1.5)Team Secret Whales won
- Game Handicap: TSW (-2.5) vs CTBC Flying Oyster (+2.5)Team Secret Whales won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - LCP PlayoffsTeam Secret Whales won
- LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 WinnerTeam Secret Whales won
- LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 WinnerTeam Secret Whales won
- LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Team Secret Whales - Game 3 WinnerTeam Secret Whales won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.