Other European Leagues · resolved market
Trabzonspor vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71b720ffa77fc158c671de813bc5363d6568b920c90c88e957b17fbeb49dfee9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,969
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,636
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,969 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x25e3…ab76backed Under | 1c | 4,733$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 1,502$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Under | 12c | 1,250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 52c | 442.31$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.31 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…c2f6backed Over | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 21c | 300$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 75c | 270.57$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.68 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 42c | 254.28$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.8 | 199 | 48.7%97 W · 102 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…92b5backed Under | 45c | 240$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 64c | 214.35$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.2 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 187 | 49.7%93 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…5c5fbacked Under | 10c | 150.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 55c | 128.89$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 64c | 107.22$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.35 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x109c…9cc4backed Under | 53c | 90$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 58c | 85.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.03 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 52c | 48.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 53c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 42c | 40.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 49c | 34.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…56e5backed Over | 51c | 34.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc320…0997backed Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trabzonspor vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Gençlerbirliği SK (-1.5)Gençlerbirliği SK won
- Spread: Gençlerbirliği SK (-2.5)Gençlerbirliği SK won
- Spread: Trabzonspor (-1.5)Gençlerbirliği SK won
- Spread: Trabzonspor (-2.5)Gençlerbirliği SK won
- Trabzonspor vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 0.5Over won
- Trabzonspor vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Trabzonspor vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Trabzonspor vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.