Tennis · resolved market
ITF Darmstadt: Arina Bulatova vs Lola Giza
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71d55ca27a49e7f91914e08e40f64f928402fb8d415e024e5ed8069412307ea5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arina Bulatovaof Arina Bulatova, Lola Giza
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,877
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,181
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,877 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Arina Bulatova | 55c | 2,000$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.98 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lola Giza | 45c | 1,010$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.52 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Lola Giza | 37c | 810.81$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 378 | 49.2%186 W · 192 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Arina Bulatova | 57c | 783.42$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.42 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -9.5wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Arina Bulatova | 41c | 585.37$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.37 | 1,091 | 60.2%657 W · 434 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Lola Giza | 43c | 447.31$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.52 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Lola Giza | 42c | 344.83$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.83 | 1,158 | 41.4%479 W · 679 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Lola Giza | 7c | 322.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 1,000 | 49.8%498 W · 502 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lola Giza | 45c | 255.23$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.73 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Arina Bulatova | 41c | 250.64$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.64 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Lola Giza | 37c | 167.57$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 897 | 54.6%490 W · 407 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Lola Giza | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 962 | 55.8%537 W · 425 L | +21.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Arina Bulatova | 42c | 121.43$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Lola Giza | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Arina Bulatova | 42c | 107.14$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.14 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Arina Bulatova | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 2,179 | 37%807 W · 1,372 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Lola Giza | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 967 | 55%532 W · 435 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Arina Bulatova | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lola Giza | 44c | 65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Arina Bulatova | 50c | 64.63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Arina Bulatova | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 1,723 | 50.1%863 W · 860 L | +29.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff1…4766backed Arina Bulatova | 49c | 58.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.72 | 167 | 62.3%104 W · 63 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…d369backed Lola Giza | 45c | 56.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Lola Giza | 52c | 52.47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Lola Giza | 46c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 275 | 50.2%138 W · 137 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f0…8ad9backed Lola Giza | 73c | 27.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Arina Bulatova | 47c | 27.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Arina Bulatova | 75c | 21.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.