Tennis · resolved market
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Anna-Lena Friedsam
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7284b3e79a69b9a9eaabbf10bfd02514627a2c7039c8843a5b0bbb52e2e1a704
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zeynep Sonmezof Zeynep Sonmez, Anna-Lena Friedsam
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,790
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,099
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,790 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Anna-Lena Friedsam | 26c | 5,916$1,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.51 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Zeynep Sonmez | 66c | 3,918$2,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337.43 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Anna-Lena Friedsam | 26c | 3,243$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.33 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Anna-Lena Friedsam | 22c | 2,970$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.78 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Anna-Lena Friedsam | 28c | 2,482$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.36 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Zeynep Sonmez | 71c | 1,920$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.99 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Anna-Lena Friedsam | 45c | 1,298$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.48 | 412 | 51%210 W · 202 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Anna-Lena Friedsam | 31c | 1,237$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.44 | 294 | 44.2%130 W · 164 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Zeynep Sonmez | 66c | 1,144$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.31 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77d4…3983backed Zeynep Sonmez | 72c | 1,100$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Zeynep Sonmez | 72c | 1,050$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.99 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e71…eba7backed Zeynep Sonmez | 58c | 795.69$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.19 | 122 | 35.2%43 W · 79 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Anna-Lena Friedsam | 29c | 770.55$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.44 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Anna-Lena Friedsam | 36c | 484.02$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.99 | 507 | 31.2%158 W · 349 L | -41.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Zeynep Sonmez | 71c | 466.65$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.8 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Anna-Lena Friedsam | 19c | 432.97$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.83 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Zeynep Sonmez | 73c | 399.99$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 410 | 60.5%248 W · 162 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cc…275cbacked Anna-Lena Friedsam | 25c | 382$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Zeynep Sonmez | 71c | 290.58$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.22 | 369 | 44.4%164 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…f64abacked Zeynep Sonmez | 74c | 266.05$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.17 | 849 | 63.1%536 W · 313 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Zeynep Sonmez | 71c | 254.8$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.13 | 848 | 57.4%487 W · 361 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe031…5c08backed Zeynep Sonmez | 76c | 233.2$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.02 | 735 | 49.8%366 W · 369 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Zeynep Sonmez | 70c | 199.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbe…e45bbacked Anna-Lena Friedsam | 29c | 191.64$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Anna-Lena Friedsam | 27c | 174.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Anna-Lena Friedsam | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 292 | 30.5%89 W · 203 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Zeynep Sonmez | 62c | 147.8$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa304…b075backed Zeynep Sonmez | 71c | 147.39$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.74 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -53%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Zeynep Sonmez | 71c | 141.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.36 | 567 | 54.5%309 W · 258 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Anna-Lena Friedsam | 28c | 125.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.42 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5572…f01ebacked Zeynep Sonmez | 75c | 118.47$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 579 | 53.7%311 W · 268 L | +19.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Anna-Lena Friedsam | 28c | 104.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Zeynep Sonmez | 72c | 101.26$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.45 | 814 | 57%464 W · 350 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Zeynep Sonmez | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Anna-Lena Friedsam | 29c | 87.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x305b…cd21backed Zeynep Sonmez | 66c | 74.21$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 550 | 59.1%325 W · 225 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Zeynep Sonmez | 75c | 71.83$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 405 | 48.1%195 W · 210 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Zeynep Sonmez | 73c | 67.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd76…22febacked Zeynep Sonmez | 74c | 67.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Zeynep Sonmez | 76c | 64.84$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 749 | 61.8%463 W · 286 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Zeynep Sonmez | 72c | 63.2$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Anna-Lena Friedsam | 31c | 62.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Zeynep Sonmez | 66c | 62$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 502 | 59%296 W · 206 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…1414backed Anna-Lena Friedsam | 31c | 52.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Anna-Lena Friedsam | 28c | 52.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 262 | 54.6%143 W · 119 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Anna-Lena Friedsam | 25c | 51.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 868 | 35.4%307 W · 561 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Zeynep Sonmez | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfb…63f6backed Zeynep Sonmez | 73c | 49.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Zeynep Sonmez | 71c | 48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Anna-Lena Friedsam | 32c | 47.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 568 | 17.4%99 W · 469 L | -74.2wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Zeynep Sonmez | 72c | 41.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 184 | 47.3%87 W · 97 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…ed83backed Anna-Lena Friedsam | 36c | 40.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 134 | 32.8%44 W · 90 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b89…98d6backed Zeynep Sonmez | 75c | 38.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 388 | 66.2%257 W · 131 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Zeynep Sonmez | 55c | 35.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 572 | 67.3%385 W · 187 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2720backed Zeynep Sonmez | 69c | 32.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Anna-Lena Friedsam | 35c | 32.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Zeynep Sonmez | 61c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 652 | 64.1%418 W · 234 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Zeynep Sonmez | 67c | 27.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Zeynep Sonmez | 73c | 26.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 711 | 65.1%463 W · 248 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…18d8backed Zeynep Sonmez | 68c | 23.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f7…a181backed Zeynep Sonmez | 70c | 21.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2f…1b25backed Zeynep Sonmez | 78c | 19.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97a8…078dbacked Zeynep Sonmez | 73c | 19.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 256 | 61.3%157 W · 99 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.