Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Flora win on 2026-08-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7297027ffc738ce0a896cd930c60adb1c72e1bac710474fa7bded5c8c0eae72b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,080
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,470
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,080 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 74c | 3,416$2,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.42 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +7.7wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 4c | 2,414$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.15 | 112 | 26.8%30 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 75c | 1,824$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.01 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +11.0wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 25c | 1,137$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.71 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 25c | 1,032$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 25c | 734.95$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.62 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 14c | 728.85$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.35 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x676e…28c5backed Yes | 27c | 621.68$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaedb…91fdbacked Yes | 11c | 515$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.41 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 24c | 264.05$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.74 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 24c | 189.06$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.56 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 25c | 186$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.22 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 74c | 155$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.82 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Yes | 27c | 150.15$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.54 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffd4…b60fbacked Yes | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed No | 79c | 90$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +7.3wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 73c | 67.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 53.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 37.59$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked No | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 55cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 73c | 31.12$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 73c | 26.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 73c | 24.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 197 | 36%71 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked No | 72c | 16.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Flora win on 2026-08-06?this page
- Will Inter Club d'Escaldes vs. FC Flora end in a draw?No won
- Will Inter Club d'Escaldes win on 2026-08-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.