Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: NAOS Esports vs Oasis Gaming (BO3) - VCL Southeast Asia: Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x729b6d8d149c6c9613b2ac6aeb5c44ea536c29dab622f1dfba4c772c9b7e4a91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oasis Gamingof NAOS Esports, Oasis Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,885
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,885 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9eb9…cb5dbacked NAOS Esports | 48c | 521.23$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.19 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Oasis Gaming | 52c | 279.23$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.03 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c09…dfb9backed Oasis Gaming | 52c | 222$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.56 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed NAOS Esports | 33c | 159.55$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.41 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2b…7fc1backed Oasis Gaming | 64c | 112.5$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Oasis Gaming | 59c | 45.76$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked NAOS Esports | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked NAOS Esports | 33c | 35.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d1…59c2backed Oasis Gaming | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Oasis Gaming | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 628 | 56.4%354 W · 274 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked NAOS Esports | 45c | 27.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Oasis Gaming | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 101 | 59.4%60 W · 41 L | +11.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xab8a…3ff2backed NAOS Esports | 65c | 21.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…db89backed Oasis Gaming | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.