Tennis · resolved market
ITF Luan: Ashton McLeod vs Yan Cheng Chen
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x730bd6a9c765433968afbda705f0d2fbaaeefe5472f256ad6707bc01f00912b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yan Cheng Chenof Ashton McLeod, Yan Cheng Chen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,768
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,695
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,768 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yan Cheng Chen | 36c | 3,159$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,037.02 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Ashton McLeod | 69c | 2,400$1,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,655.99 | 636 | 48%305 W · 331 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yan Cheng Chen | 58c | 1,725$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.71 | 620 | 61.9%384 W · 236 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Ashton McLeod | 60c | 999.97$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.98 | 308 | 57.1%176 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Ashton McLeod | 39c | 650.56$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.66 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Ashton McLeod | 52c | 615.35$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.82 | 376 | 45.7%172 W · 204 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed Ashton McLeod | 41c | 578$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.22 | 523 | 41.5%217 W · 306 L | -12.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1782…2928backed Yan Cheng Chen | 45c | 571.66$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.63 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Yan Cheng Chen | 64c | 569.63$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.51 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Ashton McLeod | 41c | 461.6$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.52 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ashton McLeod | 41c | 333.32$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Yan Cheng Chen | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 542 | 49.3%267 W · 275 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Yan Cheng Chen | 62c | 312.44$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.89 | 479 | 56.6%271 W · 208 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Yan Cheng Chen | 54c | 300.56$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.49 | 332 | 53.6%178 W · 154 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Ashton McLeod | 48c | 239.91$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.03 | 361 | 45.2%163 W · 198 L | -19.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Yan Cheng Chen | 39c | 222.49$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.49 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Ashton McLeod | 47c | 188.65$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.25 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…2282backed Ashton McLeod | 65c | 154.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 362 | 64.6%234 W · 128 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…3b08backed Ashton McLeod | 67c | 148.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 509 | 58%295 W · 214 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Ashton McLeod | 39c | 110.78$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 399 | 41.9%167 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Ashton McLeod | 57c | 110.31$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.98 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ece…3b9bbacked Yan Cheng Chen | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.24 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…b61abacked Ashton McLeod | 78c | 99.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.04 | 275 | 30.2%83 W · 192 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Ashton McLeod | 30c | 98.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 96 | 29.2%28 W · 68 L | -11.4wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yan Cheng Chen | 33c | 96.97$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.97 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Ashton McLeod | 65c | 82.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.94 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked Ashton McLeod | 36c | 75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed1…18a8backed Yan Cheng Chen | 52c | 69$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b35…1dcebacked Yan Cheng Chen | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe22f…49b1backed Yan Cheng Chen | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Ashton McLeod | 36c | 50.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 482 | 35.9%173 W · 309 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Ashton McLeod | 68c | 44.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Ashton McLeod | 44c | 31.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -32.4wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x3537…3419backed Yan Cheng Chen | 36c | 30.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Yan Cheng Chen | 46c | 22.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e62…fd00backed Ashton McLeod | 55c | 19.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 203 | 47.3%96 W · 107 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Ashton McLeod | 75c | 16.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Ashton McLeod | 64c | 16.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…f39cbacked Ashton McLeod | 76c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.28per pick | 73cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.