CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: ex-ZT (-1.5) vs MASONIC (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7334a418fb17db6ee2d494ff931e1ccf11276cc1b2ddd83a1185b75cfca26e92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-Zero Tenacityof ex-Zero Tenacity, MASONIC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,109
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,179
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,109 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 42c | 2,788$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,618.92 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked MASONIC | 56c | 1,010$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.5 | 1,154 | 48.3%557 W · 597 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 49c | 549.55$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.91 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed MASONIC | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 317 | 44.8%142 W · 175 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed MASONIC | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked MASONIC | 59c | 496.37$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.91 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed MASONIC | 58c | 425$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 610 | 47.7%291 W · 319 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked MASONIC | 57c | 407.68$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.45 | 337 | 40.9%138 W · 199 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed MASONIC | 53c | 260$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.8 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -13.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 41c | 250$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.5 | 1,998 | 53.7%1,073 W · 925 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 45c | 225.19$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.6 | 2,610 | 51.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L | +16.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked MASONIC | 57c | 223.06$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.88 | 2,599 | 47.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L | -30.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked MASONIC | 65c | 200.17$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.91 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 258 | 48.8%126 W · 132 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked MASONIC | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 39c | 99.53$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.71 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed MASONIC | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked MASONIC | 50c | 79.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.92 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b6…e0a0backed MASONIC | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7852…9ec7backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 47c | 44.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +55%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b1…8e7dbacked MASONIC | 57c | 43.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 45c | 37.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 127 | 47.2%60 W · 67 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed MASONIC | 39c | 32.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 232 | 26.3%61 W · 171 L | -15.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed MASONIC | 39c | 32.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 176 | 26.1%46 W · 130 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed MASONIC | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb1…b109backed MASONIC | 54c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2d…b69dbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…2152backed MASONIC | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: ex-ZT (-1.5) vs MASONIC (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stageex-Zero Tenacity won
- Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 1 Winnerex-Zero Tenacity won
- Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winnerex-Zero Tenacity won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.