CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e8c3a2714e9a8ba50e501b86cfc56f6f116382e2d3f497a68a9fd2ce000e771
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-Zero Tenacityof MASONIC, ex-Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,013
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,734
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,013 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed MASONIC | 9c | 1,326$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.54 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bb…bd8ebacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 73c | 820.63$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.24 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -15.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked MASONIC | 22c | 807.53$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.46 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed MASONIC | 37c | 500$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.55 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked MASONIC | 34c | 480$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.04 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked MASONIC | 7c | 313.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed MASONIC | 42c | 309.81$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.85 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 80c | 284.71$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.63 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed MASONIC | 13c | 249.22$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.31 | 190 | 35.8%68 W · 122 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed MASONIC | 15c | 219.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked MASONIC | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked MASONIC | 25c | 190$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 379 | 22.2%84 W · 295 L | -43.1wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 74c | 170.29$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.11 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 60c | 126.21$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.9 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54c8…46eebacked MASONIC | 10c | 117.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5008…9466backed MASONIC | 37c | 107.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed MASONIC | 52c | 99.87$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.67 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked MASONIC | 48c | 90$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.33 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…ae14backed MASONIC | 51c | 88.24$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed MASONIC | 31c | 71.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 370 | 57%211 W · 159 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed MASONIC | 28c | 68.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6983…88c3backed MASONIC | 20c | 68.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed MASONIC | 41c | 59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked MASONIC | 30c | 46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked MASONIC | 28c | 44.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…3a3fbacked MASONIC | 37c | 42.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d7…bbf6backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 74c | 40.37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 194 | 68.6%133 W · 61 L | +25.9wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed MASONIC | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 101 | 29.7%30 W · 71 L | -10.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 67c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed MASONIC | 38c | 32.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 235 | 26.4%62 W · 173 L | -15.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed MASONIC | 38c | 32.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 176 | 26.1%46 W · 130 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed MASONIC | 31c | 32.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc916…6371backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…4737backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 121 | 76%92 W · 29 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stageex-Zero Tenacity won
- Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 1 Winnerex-Zero Tenacity won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: ex-ZT (-1.5) vs MASONIC (+1.5)ex-Zero Tenacity won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.