TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs WW Team - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
KOLESIEof KOLESIE, WW Team
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,135
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,477

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,135 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3db4…d69bbacked KOLESIE55c5,300$2,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,384.9775356.8%428 W · 325 L+48.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked WW Team45c1,817$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.457,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed WW Team45c1,533$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.3765946.9%309 W · 350 L+18.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed WW Team34c1,085$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.1947741.7%199 W · 278 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3d…3ec1backed WW Team45c555.56$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502536%9 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92f8…0e1fbacked WW Team45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012946.5%60 W · 69 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed WW Team45c294.05$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.3225147.8%120 W · 131 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8b6…c7dbbacked KOLESIE55c270$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.536253.3%193 W · 169 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe239…1761backed WW Team56c213.33$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.88748.3%42 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dea…e294backed WW Team45c190$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.535948.5%174 W · 185 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked KOLESIE54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1932348.9%158 W · 165 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea37…94f3backed KOLESIE54c137.3$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.1632951.7%170 W · 159 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed WW Team37c88.89$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.896,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0386…2b1abacked WW Team45c33.31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9970036.1%253 W · 447 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+26.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.