La Liga · resolved market
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 5.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x735f2ab6ea889230c7995f1847a24088615b760a7c48b7b09383e7c30e464663
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,722
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,726
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,722 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Over | 53c | 1,635$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.55 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 53c | 1,573$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.31 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 47c | 1,110$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.7 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 47c | 1,061$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.78 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 47c | 798.36$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.23 | 1,045 | 47.8%500 W · 545 L | +15.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x788c…8c15backed Over | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…1af6backed Under | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 54c | 56.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 448 | 40.4%181 W · 267 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 44.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 1,186 | 51.7%613 W · 573 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Under | 51c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c3…e829backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2175…4b33backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b66…582fbacked Under | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3995…c179backed Under | 48c | 30.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 5.5 Cornersthis page
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.