Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Howard Bison vs. Morgan State Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73c12c639f475e270c93a4639fe7680547c6fdffe955d50f8951829cba3ae92a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Howard Bisonof Howard Bison, Morgan State Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,222
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,124
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,222 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Morgan State Bears | 19c | 843.24$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.55 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Morgan State Bears | 19c | 707.17$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.36 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Morgan State Bears | 10c | 578.87$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.11 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Morgan State Bears | 18c | 501.2$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.2 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Morgan State Bears | 13c | 322.91$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.77 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Morgan State Bears | 22c | 299.43$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.92 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Morgan State Bears | 16c | 260.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.15 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Morgan State Bears | 15c | 243.27$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Morgan State Bears | 15c | 228.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.14 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Howard Bison | 80c | 198.9$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.78 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Morgan State Bears | 15c | 159.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Morgan State Bears | 21c | 149.13$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 167 | 21%35 W · 132 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Howard Bison | 80c | 124.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Howard Bison | 79c | 118.69$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6483…750abacked Morgan State Bears | 20c | 100.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Morgan State Bears | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Morgan State Bears | 20c | 99.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed Howard Bison | 77c | 97.35$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.39 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Howard Bison | 80c | 95.37$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.07 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Morgan State Bears | 18c | 95.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Howard Bison | 79c | 89.41$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x701f…9b8fbacked Howard Bison | 77c | 64.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Morgan State Bears | 19c | 61.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Morgan State Bears | 21c | 47.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Howard Bison | 77c | 38.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Howard Bison | 77c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 195 | 22.1%43 W · 152 L | -36.3wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Howard Bison | 79c | 33.74$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Howard Bison vs. Morgan State Bearsthis page
- Howard Bison vs. Morgan State Bears: O/U 154.5Under won
- Howard Bison vs. Morgan State Bears: O/U 155.5Under won
- Howard Bison vs. Morgan State Bears: O/U 156.5Under won
- Howard Bison vs. Morgan State Bears: O/U 158.5Under won
- Spread: Howard Bison (-8.5)Howard Bison won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.