TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Eintracht Spandauof Eintracht Frankfurt, Eintracht Spandau
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,113
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,033

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,113 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7de3…d59bbacked Eintracht Frankfurt17c1,500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25542149.2%207 W · 214 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Eintracht Frankfurt10c1,131$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.711,38937.7%524 W · 865 L-45.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed Eintracht Frankfurt16c750$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12094237.3%351 W · 591 L+51.0wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfda…5504backed Eintracht Frankfurt14c596.91$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.5717347.4%82 W · 91 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfa8…cae6backed Eintracht Frankfurt18c550$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9982953.4%443 W · 386 L-3.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52f8…ad19backed Eintracht Frankfurt18c532.89$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9262739.9%250 W · 377 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Eintracht Frankfurt16c481.24$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.122,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked Eintracht Frankfurt17c400$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681,21644.4%540 W · 676 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18b7…fff9backed Eintracht Frankfurt5c399.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2055110.3%57 W · 494 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+55.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6f8…7fa1backed Eintracht Frankfurt17c287.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5077746.2%359 W · 418 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Eintracht Frankfurt15c237.6$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.481,92242.2%811 W · 1,111 L-45.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Eintracht Frankfurt16c91.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.931,53943.7%673 W · 866 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd2…506dbacked Eintracht Frankfurt20c90.55$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.791172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.26per pick46cpaid+67.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8812…c41abacked Eintracht Frankfurt17c77.7$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2125551.4%131 W · 124 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Eintracht Spandau79c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.251,82639.9%728 W · 1,098 L-61.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.