NHL · resolved market
Devils vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7437980a3e08451da7d42dd514784678b366329794416f719e4b482ce3d565ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,413
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,413
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,413 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Over | 53c | 11,245$5,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,260.25 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Under | 47c | 7,483$3,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,517.01 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Over | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Under | 47c | 3,956$1,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.32 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Over | 54c | 1,963$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.93 | 183 | 45.9%84 W · 99 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Over | 51c | 1,889$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.56 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Over | 51c | 1,600$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 46c | 1,392$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.27 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Under | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Under | 47c | 1,109$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.23 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Over | 51c | 814.29$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 47c | 721$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.87 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 46c | 571$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.66 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 45c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bb…c285backed Under | 47c | 44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Devils vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5this page
- Devils vs. HurricanesHurricanes won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Hurricanes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.