Fifa International · resolved market
Panama leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x743b3829fe0f45fbaadb51a77a6bc3dd87c54caa6cbd384b31686d6f665c8bc7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,188
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,732
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,188 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 60c | 6,213$3,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,474.94 | 118 | 20.3%24 W · 94 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 40c | 5,249$2,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,082.11 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 43c | 1,119$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.19 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 56c | 548.73$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.44 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 42c | 546.2$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.23 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 56c | 345$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.23 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 44c | 299.97$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.99 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc5…1e15backed No | 44c | 241.76$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 56c | 232$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.08 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 41c | 205.46$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.75 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 59c | 169.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.4 | 551 | 53%292 W · 259 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 51c | 135$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.15 | 201 | 86.1%173 W · 28 L | +46.2wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x8d03…100ebacked No | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 63c | 102.27$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.41 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd5…feb0backed Yes | 59c | 49.15$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 145 | 50.3%73 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Yes | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 432 | 46.8%202 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe60…5eb9backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 49c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 277 | 45.1%125 W · 152 L | -19.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 344 | 38.4%132 W · 212 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd6…3806backed No | 43c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 59c | 23.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Panama leading at halftime?this page
- Dominican Republic leading at halftime?No won
- Panama vs. Dominican Republic: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.