Tennis · resolved market
ITF Rancho Santa Fe: Ekaterina Khayrutdinova vs Brandelyn Fulgenzi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74a5ade866183c6c0c866878dbb6ff9bdbd607ef8b88162d52e89abf4ece088f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ekaterina Khayrutdinovaof Ekaterina Khayrutdinova, Brandelyn Fulgenzi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,889
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,641
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,889 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Ekaterina Khayrutdinova | 77c | 4,446$3,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.77 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Brandelyn Fulgenzi | 24c | 3,828$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.54 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Brandelyn Fulgenzi | 13c | 789.14$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.75 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Brandelyn Fulgenzi | 21c | 327.86$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.65 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Brandelyn Fulgenzi | 29c | 300$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.75 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe302…a986backed Brandelyn Fulgenzi | 21c | 245$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.9 | 198 | 41.9%83 W · 115 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ekaterina Khayrutdinova | 79c | 242.01$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.82 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Brandelyn Fulgenzi | 56c | 197$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.32 | 337 | 51.9%175 W · 162 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Brandelyn Fulgenzi | 11c | 112.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed Brandelyn Fulgenzi | 15c | 111.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 234 | 42.7%100 W · 134 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed Brandelyn Fulgenzi | 19c | 99.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6f…6572backed Ekaterina Khayrutdinova | 67c | 86.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 127 | 67.7%86 W · 41 L | +15.2wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed Ekaterina Khayrutdinova | 79c | 75.97$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 363 | 78.2%284 W · 79 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 77cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Ekaterina Khayrutdinova | 79c | 59.86$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 363 | 49.9%181 W · 182 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Ekaterina Khayrutdinova | 52c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Ekaterina Khayrutdinova | 79c | 25.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…189abacked Ekaterina Khayrutdinova | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 214 | 51.9%111 W · 103 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Ekaterina Khayrutdinova | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Ekaterina Khayrutdinova | 74c | 18.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbe…e45bbacked Ekaterina Khayrutdinova | 80c | 17.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.