La Liga · resolved market
Burgos CF vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74b4a015b689284c4051fca8ffe9483469393c9d648264517b13f049dd57090e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,225
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,339
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,225 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 2,479$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.8 | 4,846 | 47%2,279 W · 2,567 L | -17.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 36c | 1,795$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.53 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa566…72debacked Over | 9c | 1,724$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.03 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 35c | 1,500$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.8 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +18.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 59c | 823.67$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.85 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 64c | 700$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Over | 59c | 676.69$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.05 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 64c | 373.61$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.57 | 1,669 | 43.8%731 W · 938 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 64c | 181.04$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.04 | 2,381 | 48.3%1,151 W · 1,230 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0722…fceebacked Over | 45c | 180.07$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.03 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 58c | 96.22$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.81 | 342 | 50%171 W · 171 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,086 | 48.2%523 W · 563 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 26c | 65.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 43c | 52.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 195 | 44.1%86 W · 109 L | +13.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 160 | 40%64 W · 96 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 61c | 39.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x595e…fa82backed Over | 36c | 27.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 53c | 26.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 64c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 1,635 | 51.6%844 W · 791 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Under | 64c | 19.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Burgos CF vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 2.5this page
- Burgos CF vs. Cádiz CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Burgos CF vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Burgos CF vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Burgos CF (-2.5)Cádiz CF won
- Spread: Cádiz CF (-1.5)Burgos CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.