Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Prizmic (-1.5) vs Altmaier (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74ee9714d0526494ff9b231552cdd2eb8cbfed2a46f0bca3eafe88ff26a9c243
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Altmaierof Prizmic, Altmaier
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,560
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,489
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,560 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb272…ee5abacked Prizmic | 48c | 953.76$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.87 | 148 | 22.3%33 W · 115 L | -14.8wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Altmaier | 64c | 717.78$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.4 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Prizmic | 35c | 428.71$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.79 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Prizmic | 41c | 425.14$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.37 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ece…8786backed Altmaier | 49c | 337.77$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.26 | 155 | 48.4%75 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Altmaier | 57c | 218.73$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.01 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Altmaier | 66c | 148.47$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.51 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Altmaier | 55c | 106.06$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.73 | 556 | 60.3%335 W · 221 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Altmaier | 53c | 76.89$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.14 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…f7a9backed Prizmic | 42c | 68.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x855f…4954backed Altmaier | 67c | 61.97$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 105 | 70.5%74 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Prizmic | 39c | 49.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…5ddbbacked Prizmic | 54c | 37.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6924…1455backed Altmaier | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc345…2c35backed Prizmic | 40c | 33.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe129…b86cbacked Altmaier | 65c | 30.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…d68abacked Altmaier | 67c | 29.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Prizmic | 44c | 27.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Prizmic | 47c | 26.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 450 | 51.8%233 W · 217 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…6592backed Altmaier | 59c | 18.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f36…b511backed Altmaier | 67c | 17.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Prizmic (-1.5) vs Altmaier (+1.5)this page
- Altmaier vs. Prizmic: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Altmaier vs. Prizmic: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Under won
- Bucharest Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Dino PrizmicDaniel Altmaier won
- Daniel Altmaier vs. Dino Prizmic: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Altmaier vs PrizmicPrizmic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.