Cricket · resolved market
ODI Series Hong Kong vs Kuwait: Hong Kong, China vs Kuwait
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75a00cd9894746bb312e7a8275a78c8753fac848d72b864250224a14d7578d22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hong Kong, Chinaof Hong Kong, China, Kuwait
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,318
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,318 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Kuwait | 1c | 4,381$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0646…ad17backed Kuwait | 7c | 1,181$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.83 | 324 | 15.7%51 W · 273 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ad…ad96backed Hong Kong, China | 73c | 814.79$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.55 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6114…69dbbacked Hong Kong, China | 80c | 545$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…820fbacked Kuwait | 12c | 458.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 187 | 29.4%55 W · 132 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Kuwait | 6c | 375.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Kuwait | 17c | 335.51$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbee8…d0f0backed Kuwait | 17c | 299.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Kuwait | 9c | 258.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee6d…0c24backed Hong Kong, China | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Kuwait | 34c | 181.27$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.48 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Kuwait | 8c | 170.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Kuwait | 12c | 166.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Hong Kong, China | 70c | 155$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.8 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Hong Kong, China | 67c | 152.28$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.19 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Kuwait | 14c | 150.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Kuwait | 9c | 126.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…9ce9backed Hong Kong, China | 72c | 121.98$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…4b30backed Kuwait | 9c | 113.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…f9d3backed Kuwait | 41c | 105$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Kuwait | 43c | 101.97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.85 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x901b…59efbacked Hong Kong, China | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 132 | 41.7%55 W · 77 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Hong Kong, China | 44c | 92.16$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.48 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8417…8a39backed Hong Kong, China | 64c | 74$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 194 | 27.3%53 W · 141 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fa…bec1backed Hong Kong, China | 67c | 73.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Kuwait | 33c | 71.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 200 | 37%74 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8678…b755backed Hong Kong, China | 75c | 67.8$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 155 | 61.9%96 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Kuwait | 25c | 64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +150.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa3…c6b6backed Kuwait | 35c | 53.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2158…f433backed Hong Kong, China | 76c | 47.39$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked Kuwait | 27c | 41.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | +16.9wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc72e…656dbacked Hong Kong, China | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 70cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Hong Kong, China | 68c | 34.7$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…d300backed Kuwait | 35c | 30.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…edc9backed Hong Kong, China | 66c | 30.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 66 | 74.2%49 W · 17 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc5…b13bbacked Hong Kong, China | 70c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe99b…d599backed Hong Kong, China | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 202 | 51.5%104 W · 98 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00a…7d9abacked Hong Kong, China | 77c | 17.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3057…9ca5backed Hong Kong, China | 67c | 15.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…836dbacked Hong Kong, China | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…307bbacked Hong Kong, China | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.