Asian League · resolved market
Will FC Anyang vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x760806f8ae3f2bdec5a4460272d8a75f17475c2aada2a0b56bc85d4ae6af7930
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,311
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,444
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,311 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 34c | 777.74$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.89 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8414…2ddebacked No | 67c | 738.2$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.8 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 45c | 501$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.45 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 57c | 478.89$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.97 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 136 | 31.6%43 W · 93 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 55c | 299.27$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.67 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 224.15$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.5 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa842…ab57backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.13 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 42c | 192.97$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.95 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 79c | 176.31$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.31 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 12c | 165.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Yes | 77c | 156.79$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.79 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 22c | 156.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.21 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 41c | 154.65$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.49 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 55c | 127.79$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.77 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 51c | 123.83$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.81 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Yes | 68c | 121.16$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.16 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58be…2517backed Yes | 32c | 117.62$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.62 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 39c | 100.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.17 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 100.75$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.03 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 22c | 95.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 36c | 88.48$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x784a…06c3backed Yes | 61c | 81.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.53 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…c634backed Yes | 42c | 78$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.55 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 48c | 73$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 123 | 62.6%77 W · 46 L | +17.0wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 53c | 53.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…be0abacked No | 59c | 49.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed No | 30c | 44.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes | 37c | 37.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.63 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3109…ff47backed Yes | 58c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 62c | 27.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94c1…8036backed Yes | 77c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 70c | 23.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 165 | 61.2%101 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Yes | 63c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Anyang vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Anyang win on 2026-05-10?No won
- Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-05-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.