Other European Leagues · resolved market
St Mirren FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76117cc672555979f8c11558b6d2aa6df8f18499bf3798516d5f057b0a5a9fdf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,723
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,648
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,723 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 29c | 2,139$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.25 | 183 | 35%64 W · 119 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 71c | 2,136$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.73 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 44c | 400$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Over | 44c | 135$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Over | 44c | 114$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked Over | 30c | 60.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Over | 44c | 58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 33c | 42.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 146 | 28.1%41 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…b793backed Under | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf683…f2dfbacked Under | 56c | 39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38dc…4c5fbacked Under | 56c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 67c | 31.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…7ca5backed Under | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89fe…4293backed Under | 56c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…4b4cbacked Under | 56c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 57c | 26.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a6…7ed2backed Under | 56c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked Under | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83b1…cac1backed Under | 56c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d9…6febbacked Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St Mirren FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 2.5this page
- St Mirren FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- St Mirren FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- St Mirren FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.