CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Vexa vs Game Hunters (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x762a0518f4b39b4a4119dfb894841a78c4fb1176679ddd50e7ab81f6e658db3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Game Huntersof Vexa, Game Hunters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,339
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,339 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Vexa | 17c | 711.85$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.43 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Game Hunters | 77c | 651.78$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.13 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Game Hunters | 77c | 416.73$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.5 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed Game Hunters | 80c | 200.73$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.65 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Vexa | 37c | 173.43$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.1 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Vexa | 22c | 165.18$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.15 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Vexa | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…7b98backed Vexa | 44c | 102.22$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Vexa | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Vexa | 25c | 81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Game Hunters | 80c | 71$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked Game Hunters | 79c | 68.13$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…a7b8backed Game Hunters | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +9.7wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x37d7…f131backed Game Hunters | 76c | 39.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 334 | 51.5%172 W · 162 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81fc…f616backed Game Hunters | 74c | 30.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…bf4bbacked Game Hunters | 78c | 19.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 323 | 51.4%166 W · 157 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Game Hunters | 77c | 18.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Vexa vs Game Hunters (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Vexa vs Game Hunters - Map 1 WinnerGame Hunters won
- Counter-Strike: Vexa vs Game Hunters - Map 2 WinnerGame Hunters won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.