South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Barracas Central vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x763e33b2b3c090cc5e3d9cbc6f75112f06c79cc35db6319bf36bcd8579c40283
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,666
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,729
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,666 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 66c | 2,604$1,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.34 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 30c | 999.6$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 52c | 933.85$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.6 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 806.85$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.92 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 18c | 767.93$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.54 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0542…e195backed Over | 36c | 675.28$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.85 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 75c | 611.09$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.55 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Over | 9c | 543.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 74 | 20.3%15 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 46c | 315.52$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.14 | 166 | 56%93 W · 73 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3d…b570backed Under | 73c | 159.7$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.34 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…c46abacked Under | 70c | 147.3$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.19 | 38 | 81.6%31 W · 7 L | +10.2wins | +0.27per pick | 55cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 68c | 143.88$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.09 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 34c | 142.89$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.99 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 72c | 116.93$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.45 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 72c | 116.89$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.41 | 123 | 61.8%76 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Over | 32c | 116.41$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 65c | 115.52$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.09 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 67c | 99.04$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.36 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 34c | 80$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 213 | 59.6%127 W · 86 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 31c | 73.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.83 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 40c | 72.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 66c | 44.39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 79c | 40.08$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 79c | 40.03$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Over | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 79c | 38.87$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 79c | 38.83$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 33c | 38.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.72 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea77…686ebacked Over | 66c | 37.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Over | 67c | 36.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Under | 49c | 35.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Under | 70c | 35.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 78c | 34.17$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Under | 72c | 30.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Under | 45c | 30.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…36b8backed Over | 37c | 28.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 80c | 27.55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 80c | 27.55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Under | 80c | 27.55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 70c | 20.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 70c | 20.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 199 | 55.8%111 W · 88 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 70c | 16.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 77c | 15.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 76c | 14.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.56 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Under | 76c | 14.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.56 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked Under | 76c | 14.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.56 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 76c | 14.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.56 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Barracas Central vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Barracas Central vs. CR Vasco da Gama: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Barracas Central vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Barracas Central vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: CA Barracas Central (-1.5)CR Vasco da Gama won
- Spread: CA Barracas Central (-2.5)CR Vasco da Gama won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)CA Barracas Central won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.