Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will GAIS win on 2026-07-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x764c3b84e09e2139158ee9a849016088ed047087925f12fb9fa866cb2ad85b45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,760
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,827
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,760 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 25c | 9,461$2,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,331.97 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 74c | 9,328$6,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,471.81 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 70c | 2,705$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.6 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 31c | 1,742$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.52 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 27c | 1,406$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.32 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 39c | 1,365$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.54 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 66c | 809.76$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.44 | 200 | 50%100 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 79c | 631.49$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.61 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 39c | 618.09$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.72 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 27c | 376.54$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.1 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 33c | 367.58$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.28 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 73c | 357.18$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.8 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 72c | 343.12$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.73 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Yes | 33c | 270$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.9 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 23c | 232.29$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.43 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 72c | 215$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.51 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 43c | 152.12$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.36 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf81a…719abacked Yes | 33c | 116.46$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.13 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 67c | 106.2$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.16 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 67c | 93.36$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.55 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 76c | 91.04$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes | 33c | 80.36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.84 | 138 | 39.1%54 W · 84 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 33c | 76.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.24 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed No | 39c | 75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Yes | 34c | 62.14$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.01 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 69c | 60.24$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 192 | 50.5%97 W · 95 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 76c | 40.32$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf904…85ecbacked Yes | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 43c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 33c | 34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…6c79backed No | 65c | 29.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked No | 69c | 28.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 67c | 24.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce8a…189fbacked No | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will GAIS win on 2026-07-23?this page
- Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-07-23?No won
- Will GAIS vs. FC Nordsjælland end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.