Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Sarpsborg 08 FF (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x764f7f00d532d8c52304c69fc201c80ebe5da1309942713a87c718918509efe3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sandefjord Fotballof Sarpsborg 08 FF, Sandefjord Fotball
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,830
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,830
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,830 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4488…e319backed Sandefjord Fotball | 69c | 2,500$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.96 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 31c | 1,428$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.71 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 31c | 198$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.38 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 31c | 186.62$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.85 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 31c | 169.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.7 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 31c | 141.61$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.9 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 27c | 81.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 31c | 78.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 31c | 65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 126 | 64.3%81 W · 45 L | +16.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…0b6ebacked Sandefjord Fotball | 70c | 61.43$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 24 | 87.5%21 W · 3 L | +7.9wins | +0.33per pick | 55cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Sarpsborg 08 FF (-1.5)this page
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Sandefjord Fotball: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Sandefjord Fotball: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 0.5Over won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 4.5Under won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Sandefjord Fotball (-1.5)Sarpsborg 08 FF won
- Spread: Sandefjord Fotball (-2.5)Sarpsborg 08 FF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.