Other European Leagues · resolved market
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83411158ceb4ad95d42e65b1468c284b6d63fe1d915c590c503217bd1f4c94fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,988
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,264
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,988 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.99 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 4,424$2,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.19 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Over | 42c | 2,857$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.28 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 43c | 2,185$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.31 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 50c | 1,716$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.65 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Over | 42c | 1,643$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.13 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 44c | 1,276$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.52 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…286abacked Over | 42c | 1,206$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.52 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…291fbacked Over | 42c | 910$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29d2…7babbacked Over | 41c | 900$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 28c | 777.89$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.81 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 31c | 700$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 41c | 499.92$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.97 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 55c | 483.84$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.11 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 57c | 465.77$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.49 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6aa…178ebacked Under | 59c | 306.27$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.57 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 41c | 260.49$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.8 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 57c | 237.71$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.59 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Under | 45c | 216.47$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.06 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…0b6ebacked Under | 59c | 152.54$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.54 | 24 | 87.5%21 W · 3 L | +7.9wins | +0.33per pick | 55cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 57c | 125.1$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.27 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 55c | 123.74$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.06 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 57c | 103$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.29 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Over | 44c | 89.28$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f03…8a0dbacked Under | 56c | 89.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 56c | 88.01$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 58c | 86.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.48 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 55c | 75.64$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae3b…e06ebacked Under | 39c | 72.92$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.53 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 57c | 70.51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 244 | 66%161 W · 83 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 57c | 65.27$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7778…0637backed Over | 43c | 65.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 41c | 58.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…55f7backed Under | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5d…9bdcbacked Under | 59c | 47.46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +5.2wins | +0.34per pick | 59cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 58c | 47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 58c | 38.47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 99 | 68.7%68 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Over | 29c | 38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 55c | 37.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 41c | 31.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Under | 56c | 26.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7097…811cbacked Over | 65c | 24.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 57c | 22.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 126 | 64.3%81 W · 45 L | +16.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed Over | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd47b…0f5abacked Under | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 3.5this page
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Sandefjord Fotball: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Sandefjord Fotball: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 0.5Over won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 4.5Under won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Sandefjord Fotball (-1.5)Sarpsborg 08 FF won
- Spread: Sandefjord Fotball (-2.5)Sarpsborg 08 FF won
- Spread: Sarpsborg 08 FF (-1.5)Sandefjord Fotball won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.