TailMyPicks
Market

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: ENCE vs Nemiga - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nemigaof ENCE, Nemiga
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,556
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,853

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,556 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfadd…3955backed Nemiga46c4,687$2,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,546.48052.5%42 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked ENCE44c3,151$1,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3823,25950.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L+98.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked ENCE42c2,986$1,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,251.973,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x25ac…3e47backed Nemiga78c2,298$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.328564.7%55 W · 30 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Nemiga71c1,254$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.381,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8f81…5410backed ENCE1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10254%1 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick1cpaid+300%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x757d…1496backed Nemiga48c885.16$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.1924649.6%122 W · 124 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked ENCE40c608.13$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.457,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nemiga73c425.71$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.255,58047.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L+47.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30f4…8c1ebacked ENCE49c365.27$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.8327947.7%133 W · 146 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed ENCE36c286.76$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.2316527.9%46 W · 119 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-26.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Nemiga54c245.26$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.172,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x309d…4287backed ENCE39c242.42$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.594940.8%20 W · 29 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed ENCE26c132.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8329128.5%83 W · 208 L-30.2wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-38.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Nemiga56c101$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.171,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed ENCE56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.7587351.2%447 W · 426 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfccd…b1afbacked Nemiga35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651154.5%6 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.29per pick26cpaid+143.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa203…11bcbacked ENCE66c99.99$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662040%8 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-30.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfb0…466fbacked ENCE39c94.12$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.723636.1%13 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed ENCE49c92.29$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.319843.9%87 W · 111 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Nemiga56c79.45$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1137445.7%171 W · 203 L-29.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe384…7fafbacked ENCE41c63.84$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.431040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x07d4…045fbacked Nemiga58c55.16$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.164148.8%20 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked Nemiga57c53.3$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1359647.3%282 W · 314 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked ENCE51c46.95$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.042,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Nemiga39c46.04$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0727348.4%132 W · 141 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccd4…2fd4backed Nemiga43c45$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.853762.2%23 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x661e…c63ebacked Nemiga58c27.59$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.595246.2%24 W · 28 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed ENCE56c23.42$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1229350.2%147 W · 146 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb863…a3a0backed Nemiga80c19.35$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.91475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick64cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe09c…f300backed Nemiga74c19.08$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.964050%20 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.