Tennis · resolved market
ITF W15 Wanfercée-Baulet Women: Meritxell Teixido Garcia vs Lisa Claeys
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x767c16ad738431d1f854f6427587ccf5facc66134c75474508843e87d010506f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lisa Claeysof Meritxell Teixido Garcia, Lisa Claeys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,150
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,046
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,150 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x63ef…7d38backed Meritxell Teixido Garcia | 20c | 534.72$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.23 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.32per pick | 41cpaid | +107.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Meritxell Teixido Garcia | 24c | 416.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 3,952 | 55.1%2,176 W · 1,776 L | +107.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Meritxell Teixido Garcia | 18c | 316.35$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.19 | 8,921 | 42.6%3,799 W · 5,122 L | -169.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Meritxell Teixido Garcia | 33c | 267.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.26 | 8,127 | 50.8%4,126 W · 4,001 L | +84.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lisa Claeys | 78c | 238.54$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.48 | 11,877 | 43.3%5,143 W · 6,734 L | +19.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…8d7dbacked Meritxell Teixido Garcia | 21c | 95.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Lisa Claeys | 79c | 90.78$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 376 | 58%218 W · 158 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Lisa Claeys | 73c | 82.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 4,407 | 52.3%2,304 W · 2,103 L | +66.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Lisa Claeys | 76c | 76.96$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 3,776 | 42.6%1,608 W · 2,168 L | -44.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Lisa Claeys | 56c | 56.61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.12 | 1,112 | 57.9%644 W · 468 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Meritxell Teixido Garcia | 23c | 49.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Meritxell Teixido Garcia | 27c | 49.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 4,081 | 45.7%1,867 W · 2,214 L | -30.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Lisa Claeys | 69c | 44.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 1,398 | 39.1%546 W · 852 L | -25.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa52…865bbacked Lisa Claeys | 75c | 29.32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8558…8615backed Lisa Claeys | 54c | 28.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 343 | 63.8%219 W · 124 L | +38.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Lisa Claeys | 68c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 5,600 | 48.5%2,717 W · 2,883 L | +10.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Lisa Claeys | 67c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 4,708 | 48.3%2,275 W · 2,433 L | +36.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.