Tennis · resolved market
ITF W15 Tianjin 3 Women: Yingqun Sun vs Ya Yi Yang
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76b5d682356baa31fc0503da752d679d6fc73b79befa11fa303bda249a6ffc2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ya Yi Yangof Yingqun Sun, Ya Yi Yang
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,075
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,075 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e8a…61c3backed Yingqun Sun | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Ya Yi Yang | 73c | 561.59$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.63 | 2,304 | 51.1%1,177 W · 1,127 L | +10.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ya Yi Yang | 64c | 413.17$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.74 | 7,745 | 50.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L | +93.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yingqun Sun | 21c | 327.67$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.9 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Ya Yi Yang | 57c | 315.8$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.79 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Yingqun Sun | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 737 | 38.8%286 W · 451 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Yingqun Sun | 27c | 180.37$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 587 | 57.8%339 W · 248 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yingqun Sun | 9c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 6,419 | 46.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Yingqun Sun | 36c | 143.33$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 805 | 58.6%472 W · 333 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe8…843fbacked Yingqun Sun | 27c | 120.37$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda89…6a2dbacked Yingqun Sun | 27c | 106$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Ya Yi Yang | 63c | 97$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.89 | 3,631 | 54.9%1,995 W · 1,636 L | +110.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Ya Yi Yang | 71c | 92$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.48 | 326 | 59.2%193 W · 133 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Yingqun Sun | 30c | 85.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 597 | 38.2%228 W · 369 L | -27.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Yingqun Sun | 24c | 75.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 3,541 | 42.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L | -44.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Ya Yi Yang | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 978 | 52%509 W · 469 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Ya Yi Yang | 73c | 15.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 406 | 61.3%249 W · 157 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Ya Yi Yang | 71c | 14.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 4,159 | 52.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L | +66.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…2e6abacked Ya Yi Yang | 74c | 13.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.61 | 299 | 45.8%137 W · 162 L | +20.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.