Lol · resolved market
LoL: Dominion Goblins vs Hyperion - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76c1b050a31e71f580440d89b23386bafa5cb00eaa28aee801b4faa80979f59f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hyperionof Dominion Goblins, Hyperion
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,779
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,378
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,779 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Dominion Goblins | 24c | 1,346$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.61 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d21…b3cfbacked Hyperion | 76c | 1,170$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.8 | 356 | 59%210 W · 146 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Dominion Goblins | 37c | 951.74$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.37 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e24…4fabbacked Hyperion | 69c | 398.26$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.46 | 338 | 57.7%195 W · 143 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x538f…a2d8backed Hyperion | 54c | 377.78$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.11 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Dominion Goblins | 46c | 267.65$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.12 | 421 | 43.9%185 W · 236 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…4c6dbacked Hyperion | 53c | 243.87$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Hyperion | 61c | 175$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.25 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df3…9ac3backed Hyperion | 70c | 148.14$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.63 | 420 | 55%231 W · 189 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb8…5a88backed Hyperion | 76c | 60.81$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Dominion Goblins | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9d…6c84backed Hyperion | 78c | 40.9$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 344 | 38.7%133 W · 211 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Dominion Goblins | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 580 | 43.3%251 W · 329 L | -47.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Dominion Goblins | 57c | 25.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | -21.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked Hyperion | 43c | 25.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 273 | 48%131 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Dominion Goblins | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 227 | 42.7%97 W · 130 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Dominion Goblins vs Hyperion - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Dominion Goblins vs Hyperion (BO3) - LPLOL Group StageHyperion won
- LoL: Dominion Goblins vs Hyperion - Game 2 WinnerDominion Goblins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.