Lol · resolved market
LoL: Dominion Goblins vs Hyperion (BO3) - LPLOL Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x166703ccadee9a35a8d6d666d39466702c52ae739ca3c7a0ad31ad05d53e3dc5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hyperionof Dominion Goblins, Hyperion
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,498
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,227
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,498 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30bf…a6f7backed Hyperion | 78c | 2,526$1,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.9 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Dominion Goblins | 23c | 1,421$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.34 | 1,428 | 38.4%548 W · 880 L | -42.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Dominion Goblins | 40c | 1,403$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.47 | 1,244 | 39.7%494 W · 750 L | -69.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Hyperion | 65c | 895.96$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.3 | 2,984 | 44.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L | -94.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5819…2b4fbacked Dominion Goblins | 16c | 454.25$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.68 | 521 | 49.9%260 W · 261 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d9…fdeebacked Hyperion | 54c | 440.97$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +112.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x538f…a2d8backed Hyperion | 52c | 416.77$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.64 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fe…359dbacked Hyperion | 46c | 400$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Dominion Goblins | 40c | 354.07$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.29 | 1,852 | 39.8%738 W · 1,114 L | -64.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Hyperion | 45c | 319$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.75 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…4c6dbacked Hyperion | 53c | 273.64$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…70e3backed Dominion Goblins | 47c | 236.14$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.99 | 109 | 34.9%38 W · 71 L | -15.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9d…6c84backed Dominion Goblins | 23c | 228.73$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 345 | 38.8%134 W · 211 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8421…4e30backed Hyperion | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 149 | 41.6%62 W · 87 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Hyperion | 67c | 192$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.07 | 3,159 | 33.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L | -152.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed Hyperion | 49c | 182$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.82 | 208 | 42.3%88 W · 120 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2802…347dbacked Hyperion | 49c | 172$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.72 | 219 | 40.6%89 W · 130 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9a…d10fbacked Hyperion | 49c | 172$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.72 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3320…c9e7backed Hyperion | 66c | 166.9$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.9 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9177…b19abacked Hyperion | 60c | 160$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…97e1backed Hyperion | 49c | 160$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 269 | 39%105 W · 164 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Dominion Goblins | 33c | 155.03$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 562 | 28.6%161 W · 401 L | -32.3wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…d485backed Hyperion | 42c | 139.87$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.12 | 153 | 43.8%67 W · 86 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Hyperion | 49c | 130$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.3 | 580 | 42.4%246 W · 334 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Dominion Goblins | 21c | 125.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 291 | 30.6%89 W · 202 L | -31.7wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6a10…f413backed Hyperion | 65c | 123.55$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.72 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…8cc4backed Dominion Goblins | 16c | 110.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 424 | 50.5%214 W · 210 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba4…f918backed Hyperion | 42c | 95.23$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.23 | 206 | 39.8%82 W · 124 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4509…58aebacked Dominion Goblins | 18c | 86.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 1,082 | 39.5%427 W · 655 L | -78.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Hyperion | 51c | 82$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.18 | 637 | 51.2%326 W · 311 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Dominion Goblins | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.65 | 1,343 | 49%658 W · 685 L | -26.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Dominion Goblins | 35c | 63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 2,521 | 47.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L | -34.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2888…f1a4backed Dominion Goblins | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 549 | 32.4%178 W · 371 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Dominion Goblins | 34c | 37.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 1,085 | 46.2%501 W · 584 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Hyperion | 51c | 37.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 344 | 48.3%166 W · 178 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…c6efbacked Hyperion | 46c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…5e63backed Hyperion | 45c | 33.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3016…9ffdbacked Hyperion | 45c | 33.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Hyperion | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 503 | 45.7%230 W · 273 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Hyperion | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 405 | 51.1%207 W · 198 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Hyperion | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 257 | 37%95 W · 162 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Dominion Goblins vs Hyperion (BO3) - LPLOL Group Stagethis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Dominion Goblins vs Hyperion - Game 1 WinnerHyperion won
- LoL: Dominion Goblins vs Hyperion - Game 2 WinnerDominion Goblins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.