Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UT Martin vs. SIU-Edwardsville
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76eb8042c8234c0588fff0d131458731df8563a7c7d19738d620fcae7b6b0a33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UT Martinof UT Martin, SIU-Edwardsville
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,189
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,399
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,189 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked SIU-Edwardsville | 43c | 1,528$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.78 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked SIU-Edwardsville | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed SIU-Edwardsville | 25c | 270.43$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.76 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf482…d3c3backed UT Martin | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc85b…896dbacked UT Martin | 50c | 198$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4221…148ebacked SIU-Edwardsville | 50c | 198$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73e0…ba4bbacked UT Martin | 51c | 193.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.06 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc3…f239backed SIU-Edwardsville | 71c | 118$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…3412backed SIU-Edwardsville | 49c | 114$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.86 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb50b…2009backed UT Martin | 29c | 105$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63f3…c0e3backed SIU-Edwardsville | 71c | 105$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed UT Martin | 14c | 104$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.44 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab1…0f05backed SIU-Edwardsville | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe684…9202backed UT Martin | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ef…de92backed UT Martin | 52c | 95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f8…aea3backed SIU-Edwardsville | 50c | 83$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6357…9d92backed UT Martin | 29c | 81$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +60%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9fa…ba0abacked UT Martin | 50c | 68$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3c…ddd9backed UT Martin | 53c | 51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab3c…5093backed UT Martin | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…ac6abacked UT Martin | 31c | 49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +127.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffa0…f6bfbacked UT Martin | 31c | 42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…b68bbacked SIU-Edwardsville | 71c | 37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x189f…4280backed SIU-Edwardsville | 49c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb985…0b18backed SIU-Edwardsville | 69c | 34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed SIU-Edwardsville | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0557…7090backed SIU-Edwardsville | 50c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b6…04ffbacked UT Martin | 50c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60df…3d24backed SIU-Edwardsville | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…e954backed SIU-Edwardsville | 61c | 26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5581…f322backed UT Martin | 39c | 26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0581…84ccbacked SIU-Edwardsville | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a01…7a30backed UT Martin | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5e…0cf1backed SIU-Edwardsville | 69c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe156…5606backed SIU-Edwardsville | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked SIU-Edwardsville | 48c | 24.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f01…e97ebacked UT Martin | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e4…2ccfbacked SIU-Edwardsville | 69c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebee…24f0backed SIU-Edwardsville | 69c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb389…55aabacked UT Martin | 52c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…8e45backed UT Martin | 52c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bc…14e0backed SIU-Edwardsville | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee41…8b1bbacked SIU-Edwardsville | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4345…f327backed UT Martin | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5db…1c06backed SIU-Edwardsville | 69c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8953…3449backed SIU-Edwardsville | 61c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7713…d89fbacked SIU-Edwardsville | 61c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x173d…6dcdbacked SIU-Edwardsville | 71c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x528b…c2a3backed SIU-Edwardsville | 71c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.