Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs FunPlus Phoenix - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76fc15492d2a0a75540b837d7a7b5d81524cbd9b5e0d1d0902df4bdfade0f6a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bilibili Gamingof Bilibili Gaming, FunPlus Phoenix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,508
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,508 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c30…54a2backed Bilibili Gaming | 73c | 3,580$2,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked FunPlus Phoenix | 26c | 2,310$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.13 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 28c | 732.03$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.15 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Bilibili Gaming | 68c | 587$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed FunPlus Phoenix | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed FunPlus Phoenix | 27c | 243.25$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.85 | 215 | 58.1%125 W · 90 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked FunPlus Phoenix | 38c | 199.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 26c | 139.22$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.56 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked FunPlus Phoenix | 18c | 83.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 170 | 39.4%67 W · 103 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed FunPlus Phoenix | 28c | 74.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…c0d1backed Bilibili Gaming | 72c | 69.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 218 | 59.2%129 W · 89 L | +14.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabfc…173ebacked Bilibili Gaming | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ab…2c2fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.20per pick | 61cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbebc…e19abacked Bilibili Gaming | 72c | 22.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c27…eea9backed Bilibili Gaming | 71c | 20.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs FunPlus Phoenix - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs FunPlus Phoenix (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 1 PlayoffsBilibili Gaming won
- Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs FunPlus Phoenix - Map 1 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.