CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs AM Gaming - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x772133fcf85282c1d04989d1085c4e42a1cb41682d2d6c52b8b52d300711a547
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- AM Gamingof SPARTA, AM Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,311
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,362
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,311 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed AM Gaming | 51c | 779.14$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked AM Gaming | 51c | 695.84$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.38 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed SPARTA | 58c | 394$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.52 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed SPARTA | 29c | 328.18$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.73 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed SPARTA | 52c | 299.6$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.55 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa75b…ea01backed SPARTA | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked SPARTA | 44c | 245.41$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.98 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed SPARTA | 52c | 167.53$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.12 | 406 | 39.4%160 W · 246 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked SPARTA | 42c | 160$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.78 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed SPARTA | 30c | 119$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked AM Gaming | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 421 | 49.6%209 W · 212 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked SPARTA | 35c | 93.78$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed AM Gaming | 42c | 88.16$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.35 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed AM Gaming | 73c | 80.34$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.49 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf099…d75cbacked AM Gaming | 68c | 75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed AM Gaming | 46c | 42.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.73 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed SPARTA | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed SPARTA | 73c | 32.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked SPARTA | 41c | 28.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2280…31cbbacked AM Gaming | 43c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa03f…7560backed SPARTA | 57c | 27.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked AM Gaming | 73c | 24.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked AM Gaming | 60c | 22.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked SPARTA | 49c | 22.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x97c4…9991backed SPARTA | 58c | 18.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca2…1798backed SPARTA | 74c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 152 | 77.6%118 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs AM Gaming - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs AM Gaming (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageAM Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs AM Gaming - Map 1 WinnerSPARTA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.