CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs FOKUS (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x775945d9cd1ef7b883dc383923e1f05b6b0e76790020240330efa4e9626a8a91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heroicof Heroic, FOKUS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,747
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,146
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,747 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FOKUS | 34c | 749.63$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.95 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Heroic | 36c | 496.71$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.9 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Heroic | 72c | 439.09$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.52 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Heroic | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed FOKUS | 64c | 322.19$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.35 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed FOKUS | 30c | 301.65$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.93 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked FOKUS | 35c | 272.4$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.72 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b17…d36dbacked Heroic | 35c | 257.35$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.35 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -8.5wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Heroic | 70c | 243.75$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.35 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Heroic | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed FOKUS | 20c | 196.24$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.25 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Heroic | 80c | 181.56$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.31 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed FOKUS | 61c | 178.82$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.08 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked FOKUS | 33c | 136.56$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Heroic | 39c | 112.82$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.82 | 443 | 43.3%192 W · 251 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Heroic | 39c | 103.81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.7 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba39…b4b6backed FOKUS | 64c | 101.4$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.9 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Heroic | 76c | 98.2$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 220 | 53.2%117 W · 103 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed FOKUS | 63c | 97$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.11 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…a44dbacked FOKUS | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 105 | 57.1%60 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…afb4backed Heroic | 66c | 55.27$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 194 | 54.1%105 W · 89 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked FOKUS | 45c | 42.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked FOKUS | 64c | 34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf194…b52dbacked FOKUS | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc399…53abbacked FOKUS | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | -13.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Heroic | 37c | 29.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 489 | 48.9%239 W · 250 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked FOKUS | 63c | 27.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked FOKUS | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 238 | 35.3%84 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24f5…98d2backed Heroic | 78c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed FOKUS | 62c | 16.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs FOKUS (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FOKUS (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group BHeroic won
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FOKUS - Map 1 WinnerHeroic won
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FOKUS - Map 2 WinnerHeroic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.